Dry Ontario Weather Dents Canadian Corn, Soy Output

Canada’s final 2025 corn and soybean production numbers are in, and both crops finished the year noticeably weaker than Statistics Canada had projected in September.  

Drier late-season conditions in Eastern Canada reduced yields, pushing corn and soybean totals below earlier expectations and under last year’s levels, Statistics Canada’s survey crop production report on Thursday showed. 

Nationwide corn production has slipped to 14.867 million tonnes, down from StatsCan’s model-based September estimate of 15.5 million tonnes and 3.1% below last year’s crop. Yields were the key factor, falling to 162.2 bu/acre, below September’s 165.3 bu/acre forecast and down from 168.1 bu/acre in 2024. Harvested area grew slightly to 3.6 million acres, but not enough to counter the yield losses. 

Soybean output dropped to 6.793 million tonnes, below September’s 7.133 million-tonne forecast and 10.2% below 2024 levels. Yields slipped to 43.5 bu/acre, below September’s 45.7 bu forecast and down from 49.1 bu/acre last year, despite a small increase in harvested area. 

In the main production province of Ontario, corn production has settled at 9.493 million tonnes, lower than September’s 9.905 million-tonne forecast, and 1.4% below last year. While acreage expanded 1% to 2.1 million acres, yields fell to 175.6 bu/acre, below the 179.1 bu/acre September estimate and 2024’s 180 bu/acre. 

Ontario soybean output fell to 3.56 million tonnes, below September’s 3.972 million-tonne estimate and 18.2% below 2024’s crop. Both acres (-7.2%) and yields (45.7 bu/acre) dropped sharply from last year and from September projections. 

Quebec suffered the steepest corn losses, with estimated production falling to 2.948 million tonnes, far below September’s 3.412 million-tonne projection and 18.3% below 2024 levels. Yields fell to 141.1 bu/acre, a sharp drop from the 158.1 bu/acre September estimate, while area slid 6.1% on the year to 822,800 acres.