The USDA maintained its forecast for 2021-’22 corn use in ethanol in its latest World Agricultural Demand and Supply Estimates report, released Sept. 10. Expected 2020-’21 corn use in ethanol, however, was revised down.
According to USDA, projected beginning stocks for 2021-’22 are 70 bushels higher based on lower use forecast for 2020-’21, with reductions in corn used for ethanol and exports. The USDA currently estimates 2020-’21 corn use for ethanol at 5.035 billion bushels, down from an estimated 5.075 billion bushels reported in the August WASDE.
Corn production for 2021-’22 is forecast at 15 billion bushels, up 246 million from last month on increases to harvested area and yield. The national average yield is forecast at 176.3 bushels per acre, up 1.7 bushels, while harvested areas for grain is forecast at 85.1 million acres, up 600,000.
Total U.S. corn use for 2021-’22 is up 150 million bushels to 14.8 billion. Feed and residual use is raised 75 million bushels based mostly on a larger crop and lower expected prices. An estimated 5.2 billion bushels of corn is expected to go to ethanol production in 2021-’22, a forecast maintained from the August WASDE. Exports for 2021-’22 are up 75 million bushels to 2.5 billion. With supply rising more than use, ending stocks are increased 166 million bushels to 1.4 billion. The season-average corn price received by producers is lowered 30 cents to $5.45 per bushel.