Meanwhile, actual farm interest expenses in 2021 are likely to be higher still, given FCC is projecting farm debt will not remain static and will instead grow by approximately 6%. That increase in debt, combined with a 0.5% hike in rates, would boost interest expenses even further.
Anderson said FCC is forecasting Canadian farm income will reach new record highs 2021, likely once again outpacing any increase in debt. However, he cautioned current drought conditions, high construction costs and other economic factors could still impact farm revenue and debt forecasts. As well, he pointed out the increase in 2020 farm income was not shared by all, with total livestock revenue decreasing by nearly 1%.
The Bank of Canada, which is scheduled to make its latest rate announcement on Wednesday, is not expected to hike its key overnight lending rate until 2022.
However, Anderson said the economic recovery looks to be gaining momentum as vaccination rates increase in Canada and around the globe. At the same time, upward pressure is already being seen for fixed interest rate products as long-term bond yields have increased through 2021, he said.
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