The very warm February stimulated wheat growth beyond what is typical for early to mid-March. It has reminded many of the 2007 warm late winter, and the infamous Easter freeze on April 7th of that year. It is likely we could see freezing temperatures several more times this late winter and early spring. Very cold temperatures March 11th and 12th throughout Missouri, and advanced wheat growth, has created some concern over the impact on the wheat crop. In 2007, the April 7th freeze caused significant impact on the wheat crop, however, Missouri wheat fields tended to respond better than expectations in most cases.
There are many factors to consider and the extent of damage to the wheat crop depends on the growth stage, temperature, and duration of the low temperature. A big unknown is the weather after the freeze, which in 2007 turned out to be very favorable for recovery. To better understand what we can expect, the best guide to help assess the impact of freezing temperatures to wheat is an excellent publication entitled Spring Freeze Injury to Kansas Wheat. This reference has been used for many years to better understand the influence of growth stage on cold temperature tolerance in wheat.

Figure 2: Temperatures that cause freeze injury to wheat at spring growth stages and symptoms and yield effect of spring freeze injury.
Growth stage | Appx. injurious temp. (2 hrs.) | Primary symptoms | Yield effect |
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Tilering | 12 F (-11 C) | Leaf chlorosis; burning of leaf tips; silage odor; blue cast to fields | slight to moderate |
Jointing | 24 F (-4 C) | Death of growing point; leaf yellowing or burning; lesions, splitting, or bending of lower stem; odor | Moderate to severe |
Boot | 28 F (-2 C) | Floret sterility; spike trapped in boot; damage to lower stem; leaf discoloration; odor | Moderate to severe |
Heading | 30 F (-1 C) | Floret sterility; white awns or white spikes; damage to lower stem; leaf discoloration | Severe |
Flowering | 30 F (-1 C) | Floret sterility; white awns or white spikes; damage to lower stem; leaf discoloration | Severe |
Milk | 28 F (-2 C) | White awns or white spikes; damage to lower stem; leaf discoloration; shrunken, roughened, or discolored kernels | Moderate to severe |
Dough | 28 F (-2 C) | Shriveled, discolored kernels; poor germination | slight to moderate |