Global corn surplus leads to price drop

Jan 17, 2024

The agricultural sector is bracing for a shift in the corn market as the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) predicts a record-breaking corn production for the 2023-24 season. The forecasted yield of 15.3 billion bushels represents a significant increase from earlier predictions, suggesting a surplus in the global corn supply. 

This increase in production is a result of improved seed technology and farming practices, which have enabled higher yields even with fewer harvested acres. The focus on corn and soybeans production, driven by demand for feed and biofuels, has contributed to this trend. However, rising production is outpacing demand, leading to a decline in prices. 

The situation is further complicated by increased corn production in other countries like China and India, resulting in reduced U.S. exports to traditionally strong markets. This global competition is a key factor in the declining corn prices, with corn futures already hitting a three-year low. 

The soybean market is experiencing a similar trend, with increased production both in the U.S. and internationally pushing down prices. The USDA has adjusted its season-average soybean price projection for 2023/24 to $12.75 per bushel. 

This global surplus in corn and soybean production highlights the challenges faced by farmers and exporters as they navigate a market with decreasing prices and increased competition. The current agricultural landscape underscores the need for strategic planning and market adaptation in response to evolving global production and trade dynamics.

Source : wisconsinagconnection
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