By Jonathan LaPorte and Mark Longstroth
After struggling through the 2019 season, the agriculture community is looking to reset in 2020. Until the arrival of snow in mid-April, the weather was cooperating. There were opportunities to get into fields and operations appeared to be ahead of last year. Even with improved weather, commodity prices are challenging. Global and domestic demand has collapsed, pushing prices below 2019 levels. Many producers are wondering about their farm’s ability to handle another year of low profits.
Financial risk and farm profitability
Handling low profits means you need to manage the financial risks affecting your operation. These types of risks focus beyond production or marketing risks, such as poor weather or low market prices. Financial risks include increased input costs, high levels of loan debt, low working capital, and or poor or incomplete budgeting for yearly needs. When these risks are present, there is often insufficient cash to pay bills, lower than anticipated profits, and potential loss of owner equity. Farms that manage these risks are considered highly resilient.
When thinking about your farm’s profitability, consider whether your operation is financially resilient. How well can your farm absorb or withstand unexpected changes and potential financial risks? Do you have the ability to recover from these types of risks or adapt to change? How can you build and utilize your farm’s resilience when low profits are expected?
Building financial resilience starts with understanding your farm’s capacities and liabilities. This includes your level of working capital, existing debt, and operating efficiencies. Knowing your capabilities helps determine what options or opportunities are available to you. Equipped with this knowledge, you can make decisions that yield the best outcome for your business.
Conduct your own financial analysis
Start by analyzing your previous production year. Adjusting cash transactions by accounting for prepaid purchases, crop or livestock inventory changes from the beginning and end of the year, depreciation, loan balances, and any unpaid bills reveals your actual revenues and costs. This analysis outlines your farm’s financial situation and capacities right now. It provides you with a picture of your actual profitability for the past year.
Project your cost of production