Farm Bankruptcies Have Increased in the Ninth District, Keeping Some Farmers Afloat

By Joe Mahon

The past few years have been challenging for farmers in the Ninth District. Growing pressure is borne out in the Minneapolis Fed’s Ag Credit surveys, which show slumping incomes and worsening financial conditions over the last two years.

“Farmers are suffering this year,” commented a North Dakota farm lender on a recent survey. “If prolonged into 2026, we could see some fail.” As that banker suggested, a consequence of leaner times is a rise in the number of farm bankruptcies. Though they have ticked up, farm bankruptcies remain low by historical standards, but there are reasons to expect a continued increase.

The number of farm operations filing for bankruptcy under Chapter 12 the section of the Bankruptcy Code specifically for farms increased in the first two quarters of this year, according to statistics from U.S. Courts (see Figure 1). However, this increase comes off of a very low floor, and the overall level is still very low. Only nine farms in the Ninth District filed for bankruptcy in the second quarter.

It’s perhaps surprising that bankruptcies haven’t increased more. For one thing, a Chapter 12 filing does not necessarily mean a farm is going out of business. In fact, it’s intended to allow farms to continue operating, possibly at a smaller scale after a partial liquidation and restructuring. But filing can help farms avoid liquidating completely when business gets lean.

These have been some lean years. The agriculture sector saw a boom from about 2010 to 2014. But since then, farm incomes have been relatively weak for the better part of a decade, with the exception of a short surge around the pandemic. The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecast that farm incomes will increase this year, though approximately three-quarters of that growth is attributable to a projected increase in government payments.

The weakness in incomes is largely driven by weak prices for crops. Following the same pattern as farm incomes, prices for core row crops produced in the Ninth District corn, soybeans, and wheat have receded significantly from their recent peak.