Carbon Balance Model Updates
Based on a 17-year thinning study done by researchers at Cornell University, there will be some changes/improvements to the carbon balance model. Specifically:
- The user must include an estimate of the percentage of flowering spurs (0-25%; 26-50%; 51-75%; 76-100%).
- The model uses a 7-day running average of carbon balance (2 days before application and 4 days after) instead of a 4-day running average to make thinning recommendations/suggestions.
- Growing degree-days from bloom will be calculated and included in table output.
- When GDD is 200-250 the column with GDD will turn green, indicating a “sweet spot” for tree susceptibility to chemical thinners.
- A color-coded system will be included to indicate risk associated with thinning on specific days (green = low risk of over-thinning; yellow = caution; red = danger of over-thinning).
You may wonder why all of these changes were included. In the aforementioned 17-year trial, final fruit set was related to 1) the number of flower clusters per tree, 2) degree days after bloom, and, 3) carbon balance after bloom. A natural reduction in estimated carbon balance occurred at 200 to 250 GDD after full bloom. This was identified as a key timing for making chemical thinner applications, since trees are more susceptible to chemical thinners and a greater thinning response may be observed. After May 1st, the “old” version of the carbon balance model will be removed from NEWA. Since rescue-thinning applications will likely occur in early May, I suggest that you use the new version of the model (Apple Carbohydrate Thinning v2019) and avoid changing models mid-season.
Source : ncsu.edu