“Farmers strategically select seeds based on factors such as quality, yield potential, new varieties, field conditions, crop rotation, cost implications, market dynamics and environmental conditions,” says Azam Nikzad, market analyst/coordinating researcher with the Alberta government. “Producers aim to optimize their choices by maximizing productivity and reducing production risk. This article delves into the trends in certified seed prices and examines factors contributing to their cost. The expectation is that these seeds will yield better and ultimately lead to increased revenue for farmers.”
Over the past decade, in Alberta, certified no. 1 wheat seed has shown a general upward price trend until 2022, with an average annual increase of 2%, whereas certified no. 1 barley seed experienced an average annual increase of 3.8%. In 2023, the price of wheat seed began to decrease, while barley seed prices started to decrease in 2024.
Herbicide tolerant Roundup Ready canola seed saw a consistent upward price trend, with an average annual increase of 4.6% over the past decade. Liberty Link canola seed showed a similar trend until 2022, averaging a 3.4% annual increase. Liberty Link canola seed prices decreased slightly in 2023. However, the price of Roundup Ready and Liberty Link canola increased in February 2024 by 2.8% and 2.5%, respectively, compared to January 2024.
Factors that contributed to rising seed prices in recent years include production related challenges in 2021 due to dry conditions along with a pronounced increase in commodity cereal grain and canola prices in 2021 and 2022.