Canada’s unwavering commitment to its supply management system is emerging as a key sticking point in ongoing trade discussions with the United States — and could soon spill over into broader ag sectors, including pork.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent threat to impose a 35% tariff on Canadian goods starting August 1st has sharpened concerns. While Canadian Prime Minister Carney had projected a new trade deal with the U.S. by mid-July, negotiations appear stalled, with no clear resolution in sight.
At the heart of the tension is supply management — Canada’s system that tightly controls production and pricing for dairy and poultry. While it represents a small part of the national economy, the system has near-unanimous political support in Ottawa. Parliament recently passed a resolution reaffirming that supply management is non-negotiable in any trade agreement.
Industry leaders like Florian Possberg of Polar Pork Farms warn this impasse could intensify the trade conflict. “The U.S. has long been frustrated with Canadian supply management,” Possberg notes. “If they’re determined to dismantle it, and Canada refuses to budge, we could see this trade dispute escalate sharply — with no clear end point.”