“The proposal also would likely increase credit prices and boost fuel costs in the state, he said. The cap ‘will lower the amount of credits that can be generated, which will pull back the supply somewhat and increase the credit price,’ he said,” Brasher reported. “CARB will take comments on the proposed amendments through Aug. 27.”

Biofuels Experts Weigh In
Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist for StoneX Group, said on the social media platform X that “the CARB proposal in California would give U.S. soybean oil a better carbon score than that sourced from Argentina or Brazil, but still cap use at 20% as a feedstock – a significant restriction. It would require more paperwork to certify the farms from where the beans originated.”
“The CARB proposal in California would push advanced biofuel producers toward being able to certify the farms from where the soybeans originated that produced the soyoil used in producing the biofuel to show that it was from ground cropped prior to 2008,” Suderman said. “The intent of CARB seems to be to push the industry closer to EV cars, while simultaneously still supporting the sustainable aviation fuels.”
Brasher reported that “Paul Winters, director of public affairs for the Clean Fuels Alliance America, which represents biomass-based diesel producers, said large-scale renewable diesel refineries in California would have to rely on waste feedstocks, such as used cooking oil, under the CARB plan. Small, out-of-state producers that depend on vegetable oils will be put at a disadvantage, he said.”
The University of Illinois’ Scott Irwin said on the social media platform X that “I think this is also a potentially important development for biofuels in two other ways. First, will the other (low carbon fuel standard) programs in Oregon, Washington, New Mexico, and Canada follow suit? Second, the feedstock wars between ag and enviros is really gonna start heating up in my opinion. I believe it is going to center on (used cooking oil) imports.”
“California just gave a long-run greenlight to UCO imports over domestic soybean oil production, whether they really understand that or not,” Irwin said. “There is on obvious political countermove for ag: lobby for punitive tariffs on imported UCO. This would sharply increase the cost of renewable diesel in California (and elsewhere in the US) and/or cause a runup in the price of other low CI feedstocks.”
Source : illinois.edu