Tight supplies and steady demand drive record high pork prices

Texas Pork Prices Surge as Holidays Near

Retail pork prices in Texas hit record levels this summer and are expected to remain high into the holiday season, according to experts from Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service.  

In July, retail prices reached $5.01 per pound, the highest so far this year. Limited supplies and no expansion in production are keeping prices firm. 

“Supplies remain tight as U.S. pork production has edged lower due to reduced sow numbers, despite gains in productivity per litter,” said David Anderson, livestock economist. “Consumers should expect higher prices this fall because production is about the same as last year and we’re not seeing expansion in the herd. Without more production, prices are going to stay high.” 

With no signs of herd growth, prices for hams and bacon are likely to remain elevated through November and December. Wholesale prices for popular cuts such as hams and pork bellies are higher than last year, while loins remain more affordable. 

Despite record prices, pork continues to provide strong consumer value compared to beef and poultry, noted Davey Griffin, meat specialist. Demand is especially strong heading into Thanksgiving and Christmas, with retailers already booking supplies. 

Texas plays a modest role in national pork production but contributes through commercial farms, smaller operations, and a $50 million show pig industry. Many smaller-scale producers also serve specialty ethnic markets. 

Exports continue to shape domestic markets. Mexico has become the largest buyer of U.S. pork, importing 230 million pounds in June. By contrast, exports to China have declined sharply due to tariffs, impacting trade flows and market dynamics at home. 

Experts expect pork prices to remain strong through early next year. “Unless we see a meaningful increase in production, high prices are here to stay into early next year,” said Anderson. 

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