USDA Crop Production Report

 

 

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.28 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the June 1 forecast but down 23 percent from 2016. Based on July 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 49.7 bushels per acre, up 0.8 bushel from last month, but down 5.6 bushels from last year. If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record for the United States, behind only 2016. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 25.8 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2017, but down 15 percent from last year.

 

Hard Red Winter production, at 758 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 306 million bushels, is up 3 percent from the June forecast. White Winter, at 216 million bushels, is up 3 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 18.5 million bushels are Hard White  and 198 million bushels are Soft White.

 

Durum wheat production is forecast at 57.5 million bushels, down 45 percent from 2016. The United States yield is forecast at 30.9 bushels per acre, down 13.1 bushels from last year. Expected area to be harvested for grain totals 1.86 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2017, but 21 percent below 2016.

 

Other spring wheat production is forecast at 423 million bushels, down 21 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain is expected to total 10.5 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2017, but down 7 percent from last year. The United States yield is forecast at 40.3 bushels per acre, down 6.9 bushels from last year. Of the total production, 385 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 22 percent from last year.

 

The United States all orange forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 5.07 million tons, down 2 percent from last month and down 17 percent from the 2015-2016 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 68.7 million boxes (3.09 million tons), is up slightly from last month but down 16 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 33.0 million boxes 

(1.49 million tons), unchanged from last month but down 9 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 35.7 million boxes (1.61 million tons), is up 1 percent from last month but down 22 percent from last season's final utilization.

 

The California Navel orange forecast is 40.0 million boxes (1.60 million tons), down 7 percent from the previous forecast and down 15 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 8.00 million boxes (320,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 29 percent from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.37 million boxes (58,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 19 percent from last season's final utilization. 

 

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) final yield for the 2016-2017 season is 1.42 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, unchanged from last month but up 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.41 gallons per box. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.34 gallons per box, down 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.35 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is final at 1.54 gallons per box, unchanged from last month but up 5 percent from last year's final yield of 1.47 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.