Winter Wheat Production Up Less Than 1 Percent from May Orange Production Up Slightly
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.25 billion bushels, up less than 1 percent from the May 1 forecast but down 25 percent from 2016. Based on June 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 48.9 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushel from last month, but down 6.4 bushels from last year. If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record for the United States, behind only 2016.
Hard Red Winter production, at 743 million bushels, is up 1 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 298 million bushels, is up 1 percent from the May forecast. White Winter, at 209 million bushels, is down 2 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 17.5 million bushels are Hard White and 191 million bushels are Soft White.
The United States all orange forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 5.18 million tons, up slightly from last month but down 15 percent from the 2015-2016 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 68.5 million boxes (3.08 million tons), is up 1 percent from last month but down 16 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 33.0 million boxes (1.49 million tons), unchanged from last month but down 9 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 35.5 million boxes (1.60 million tons), is up 1 percent from last month but down 22 percent from last season's final utilization.
Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 1.42 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, up 1 percent from last month and up 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.41 gallons per box. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.34 gallons per box, down 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.35 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.54 gallons per box, up 1 percent from last month and up 5 percent from last year's final yield of 1.47 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.
This report was approved on June 9, 2017.
Source: WASDE USDA