The are a couple of plants that were involved in this higher chain speeds, they're far northwest plants, one in Minnesota, one in northeast Nebraska and their need for the marginal pig is down and so there could be some implications on how many pigs are demanded out of Canada.
The same is true of Coldwater Michigan which could be in a position to bring some pigs in from Ontario. I would classify most of those market hogs coming from Canada as kind of marginal pigs and this certainly reduces the demand for those pigs and takes away an alternative that Canadian producers could have tapped into.
That's the danger of running into capacity. We did in the fall of 16, we did it in the fall of 19. Of course, we did it in spades last spring and summer as we reduced packing capacity due to Coronavirus outbreaks.
Anytime you run into capacity you put all the bargaining power in the packer's hands, you reduce the need for those spot market hogs and the price of the negotiated fall relative to others and drag down those formula price hogs.
Source : Farmscape