Corn yield responses swing with the weather, not soil

Oct 19, 2023

Digital agriculture aims to revolutionize farming by utilizing data and technology, a concept highly anticipated through management zone maps. These maps, analyzing various field factors, are designed to predict which cornfield areas would most benefit from specific input levels, like nitrogen or seeding rates. However, a study from the University of Illinois presents a compelling counterargument. 

The research team, under Professor Nicolas Martin, embarked on a novel approach, using farm equipment to distribute varied input levels randomly across several test plots, effectively 'printing' their experiment. This investigation, conducted from 2016 to 2021, covered multiple non-irrigated Illinois cornfields, each divided into hundreds of plots. 

Results showed that the same plot could react differently to identical inputs from one year to the next. The primary culprit? Weather. The team's advanced algorithmic analysis confirmed that weather variables were the predominant factors influencing yield responses, overshadowing soil characteristics or landscape features. 

This significant year-to-year inconsistency challenges the reliability of management zone maps in predicting crop behavior, providing insight into the sporadic adoption of such precision farming methods. However, the team believes that with more extensive multiyear data and improved analytic tools, the accuracy of these predictive maps will grow. 

The findings serve as a crucial reminder of the dynamic nature of farming, where technology must continually adapt to the myriad, often unpredictable factors that drive agricultural success. 

Source : wisconsinagconnection