Cotton Highlights from October WASDE Report

 

The October 2018 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report has been released by USDA (compilations were completed prior to Hurricane Michael).

 

Here’s this month’s summary for cotton:

 

The 2018/19 U.S. cotton supply and demand estimates show higher ending stocks, based on slightly larger production and lower exports relative to last month. Production is raised 81,000 bales, with higher production in Texas and Georgia largely offset by lower production in the Carolinas. Domestic mill use is unchanged from last month, but the export forecast is reduced 200,000 bales to 15.5 million due to reduced world trade and consumption. Ending stocks are forecast at 5.0 million bales, and the resulting stocks-to-use ratio of 26% is slightly higher than the previous month’s forecast, and the highest since 2015/16. The forecast range for the marketing year average farm price is 69.0 to 77.0 cents per pound; the midpoint of 73.0 cents is down 2 cents from the previous month’s projection.