So far, the researchers’ biggest piece of advice to farmers is to switch from corn to more salt-tolerant crops, like soybean, barley and sorghum. The growing conditions are still not ideal, though, and farmers often choose to cut their losses and move to different fields.
The question remains, how widespread is the saltwater intrusion issue? To find out, researchers have reviewed hundreds of aerial and satellite images. They are getting a better, overhead look at saltwater intrusion in Delmarva and how much it costs.
Their findings, “The spread and cost of saltwater intrusion in the US Mid-Atlantic,” published in Nature Sustainability, were concerning.
Visible salt patches nearly doubled from 2011 to 2017, but those aren’t the only parts of field affected. The effects of high salinity are seen hundreds of meters beyond those obvious salt zones. From 2011 to 2017, the amount of farmland within 200 meters of visible salt patches also rose, between 68% in Delaware and 93% in Maryland. Researchers estimate annual economic losses of between $39.4 million under 100% soybean and $107.5 million under 100% corn production, on the basis of assumed 100% profit loss in at-risk farmlands within 200 meters of salt patches in 2016-2017.
“This project pairs field data on soil salinity with geospatial data to help us better understand the extent of saltwater intrusion in the Delmarva,” says Kate Tully, associate professor of agroecology at the University of Maryland, who contributed to the study. “Saltwater intrusion often happens in advance of sea level rise, which is why we call it ‘the invisible flood.’ This research is the first visualization of this often invisible symptom of climate change.”
Researchers are advocating for policy that would give farmers short- and long-term solutions.
In the short-term, Pinki Mondal, Ph.D., assistant professor at University of Delaware and lead researcher on the project, says reducing farm inputs, adding gypsum, crop insurance and planting salt-tolerant crops could help farmers maintain their profits. Eventually, though, these short-term solutions will prove unsustainable. These farmlands will be lost.
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