Agriculture Canada has raised its 2025-26 canola average price forecast, after trimming it in October. The expected soybean price has also improved this month.
In its latest monthly supply-demand estimates released Monday, Ag Canada pegged the season average canola price at $670/tonne (No. 1 Canada, cash, Track Vancouver). That’s up $25 from the October projection and closer to the previous season’s $677 average. In October, Ag Canada lowered its price forecast to $645 from $675 in September.
Aside from the price change, Ag Canada made no other changes to its 2025-26 canola outlook, with forecasted ending stocks steady from last month at 2.5 million tonnes, up almost 1 million from a year earlier. Exports and crush were likewise steady at 7 million and 11.8 million tonnes, respectively.
Canola price-related factors to watch for the current marketing year, include crop quality, the farmer delivery pace, the crush and export pace, and US soybean and soy-product prices, Ag Canada said. Another key factor for canola prices remains any progress towards resolution of China’s anti-dumping duty on Canadian canola, it added.