Soybean supply to grow in 2024-2025

U.S. soybean acreage increases lead to higher supply forecast

By Farms.com

For the 2024-2025 marketing year, the U.S. soybean supply is forecasted to reach 4.8 billion bushels, reflecting an 8% increase over the previous year, despite a recent downward revision of 20 million bushels from last month's forecast.

The latest data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service indicates that 86.1 million acres of soybeans were planted, up 3% from last year. The anticipated yield remains constant at 52 bushels per acre, leading to a production forecast of 4.4 billion bushels. This represents a significant rise of 270.3 million bushels over last year's production, but a 15 million bushel decrease from prior estimates.

With steady demand projections for crushing and exports, the adjustment in production forecasts has led to a projected decrease in ending stocks for the year, now expected at 435 million bushels, 20 million less than previous estimates.

The average price for U.S. soybeans for the 2024-2025 season has been adjusted downward to $11.10 per bushel, reflecting minor corrections in market expectations based on the latest supply forecasts.

These developments are crucial for stakeholders in the agriculture sector, providing a basis for operational and investment decisions in the coming year.