Regional Projections
EU: Milk production has increased. Margins were good, which has made it attractive for farmers to produce over their milk quota limits. Growth is expected to continue.
US: Milk (wholesale) prices have dropped. And the U.S. is expected to see the most decline compared to other regions.
New Zealand: Milk production was up 17.5% compared last year in the same period. Export volumes are expected to do well.
Australia: The outlook remains “positive”. However, southern dairy producers are expected to experience lower farm-date sales, due to lower commodity prices.
Brazil: As usual, milk production fell seasonally, but it was considered much slower compared to last year. Dairy producers will continue to look for export opportunities.
Argentina: Milk production is expected to continue to fall. Production costs relating to rapid inflation will pose a challenge for the second half of 2014. The country is forecasted to experience significant rainfall (El Niño events) which will be challenging for dairy farmers.
Rabobank publishes numerous agri-food reports on a regular basis, including quarterly updates on livestock commodities in the dairy, chicken and beef sectors.