Farmer sentiment up despite declining crop prices

July’s farmer sentiment improves with better outlooks despite price drops

July brought a surprising increase in farmer sentiment, with all three major indices reflecting positive changes.

The Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index climbed to 113, accompanied by improvements in both the Index of Current Conditions and the Index of Future Expectations. This rise came even as prices for corn and soybeans declined from mid-June to mid-July.

The Farm Financial Performance Index fell to 81, signaling persistent worries about farm finances due to falling commodity prices and high input costs.

Nevertheless, the Farm Capital Investment Index saw a slight increase to 38, suggesting a minor shift towards a more positive view on capital investments.

The Short-Term Farmland Value Expectations Index rose to 118, indicating expectations for stable farmland values over the coming year.

Conversely, the Long-Term Index dropped to 146, reflecting a reduced optimism about significant value increases over the next five years.

As farmers prepare for the 2025 crop year, most anticipate cash rental rates will stay the same, with a small percentage expecting either an increase or decrease. This cautious optimism reflects a mixed but generally positive outlook among farmers, despite financial and market challenges.